BC
Bank7 Corp. (BSVN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered solid core performance: diluted EPS $1.13 and net income $10.8M, with net interest margin at 5.07% and PPE rising to $14.9M; capital ratios remain well above “well-capitalized” thresholds .
- Results beat Wall Street on EPS and slightly on revenue: EPS $1.13 vs $1.06 consensus; revenue $24.54M vs $24.35M; beats driven by resilient NIM, loan growth, and fee income outperformance; management guided slight NIM compression in Q4 as rate cuts flow through, mitigated by loan floors and deposit management [GetEstimates]* .
- Strategic actions support capital returns and flexibility: dividend raised 12.5% to $0.27 and stock repurchase program renewed for up to 750,000 shares over two years .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: sustained core NIM amid rate cuts, robust organic loan and deposit growth, disciplined reserve build given macro volatility, and continued capital return capacity (dividend and buyback authorization) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Core profitability and margin resilience: net interest margin held at 5.07% YoY and core NIM ended the quarter at 4.55% despite September rate cut; PPE up 1.29% QoQ, reflecting disciplined pricing and expense control .
- Organic growth momentum: $36.9M organic loan growth and strong deposit inflows; management highlighted strong banker-driven pipelines in Oklahoma/Texas .
- Capital and asset quality: CET1 14.22%, Tier 1 leverage 12.71%; NPLs/loans 0.35% and net recoveries of $483K (-13 bps), supporting confidence in credit book .
Management quote: “All the elements of the bank look fantastic, the liquidity, the capital, earnings and the margin.” — Tom Travis, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Noninterest income normalization: other income softened vs prior year ($1.58M vs $3.35M), pulling total noninterest income down to $2.21M; mortgage remains slow, with elevated fallout rates despite improving pipeline .
- NIM near-term compression risk: CFO guided core NIM down toward ~4.50–4.47% in Q4 as rate cuts pass through, with some deposit cost pressure late in Q3 .
- Provision build: $0.7M provision added given loan growth and macro volatility; management cautioned potential future builds if conditions or growth warrant .
Financial Results
Vs. Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment/Composition
Balance Sheet KPIs
Non-GAAP (PPE)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are excited about the markets we operate in… organic growth has just been really good all year and it’s continuing to drive the institution forward.” — Tom Travis, CEO .
- “We ended the quarter at 4.55% from a core NIM perspective… you could see further NIM compression slightly down to 4.50%… creep down to 4.47% as those loan floors kick in.” — Kelly Harris, CFO .
- “Pipeline still has plenty of activity… target high single-digit year-over-year growth… always careful with lumpy paydowns.” — Jason Estes, Chief Credit Officer .
- “We believe it’s prudent to put the hay in the barn… when we grow the portfolio and see increased volatility… we felt like it was prudent [to provision].” — Tom Travis, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth and pricing: New loans coming slightly below ~7.4% (roughly 7–7.25%); competitive pressure more on deposits than loans; pipeline supports high-single-digit growth targets .
- Margin outlook: Core NIM 4.55% at Q3-end; guided to ~4.50–4.47% in Q4 with deposit beta pacing and loan floors providing downside protection .
- Fee income sustainability: Recent outperformance from loan fee income likely trends back toward normal, with core fees ~$1M run-rate; oil & gas variable .
- Credit/reserve: Benign criticized/classified migration; reserve build driven by growth and macro volatility; further builds possible if macro/growth change .
- Mortgage outlook: Pipeline up vs. six months prior but high fallout; positioned as niche service for HNW clients; 2026 likely better than 2025 .
- M&A: Active but disciplined; AOCI overhang and long-duration low-rate loans at targets keep some sellers on the sidelines; have come close on a few deals .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 EPS beat: $1.13 actual vs $1.06 consensus (+6.6%). Revenue modest beat: $24.54M actual vs $24.35M consensus (+0.8%). Beats reflect resilient NIM, loan growth, and fee contributions; estimate dispersion limited (3 EPS ests, 2 revenue ests) [GetEstimates]*.
- Given near-term NIM compression guide and fee normalization, forward estimates may drift modestly lower on NIM assumptions, offset by continued loan growth and operating efficiency; watch revisions after guidance and macro rate path commentary .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core fundamentals intact: strong NIM and PPE with top-tier capital ratios provide downside protection as rates decline and macro uncertainty persists .
- Near-term NIM drift manageable: guided ~4.50–4.47% in Q4; loan floors and liability management should cushion compression; monitor deposit pricing pressure .
- Growth engine still on: robust pipelines and banker productivity support continued organic loan and deposit expansion; expect lumpy paydowns but net growth remains positive .
- Credit stable with prudent reserves: benign migrations and net recoveries; reserve build reflects growth and macro caution; additional builds conditional on environment .
- Capital returns optionality: dividend increased to $0.27 and buyback renewed (750k shares) provide flexibility to return capital while maintaining strong buffers .
- Trading implications (short-term): EPS/Rev beats and confident tone may support shares; watch sell-side revisions post-NIM guide and fee normalization commentary [GetEstimates]* .
- Thesis (medium-term): Asset sensitivity, disciplined credit, and organic growth in dynamic markets position BSVN to compound TBV and maintain top-tier ROA/ROATCE through rate transitions .